Year: 2023

A research article by Prof. Dr. Jonas Dovern and Lena Müller from the Chair of Statistics and Econometrics was published by the Journal of Monetary Economics. Using new survey data on quantitative growth expectations of firms in Germany, the article shows that firms resort to local information when fo...

In the upcoming summer term, our chair offers again a seminar on "Economic Expectations and Forecasting Methods" for Bachelor students. The seminar is probably most interesting for students who took already either the lecture "Analysis of Macroeconomic and Financial Markets Data" or "Empirical Finan...

A research paper by Prof. Dr. Jonas Dovern is now available at the International Journal of Forecasting. The study presents a new qualitative measure of macroeconomic expectation uncertainty based on data from a German online survey of consumer expectations and shows that this survey method works we...